Posts Tagged ‘ hockey ’

2017 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference (#OTTHAC17)

Again this year we will have a 2017 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference on May 6th at Carleton University.  We will have a day of talks related to hockey analytics. This year registration will have a fee to cover lunch. Full conference details are here: www.statsportsconsulting.com/otthac17   Registration can be found here (note that registration is two steps: registration and payment) http://forms.carleton.ca/math/2017-ottawa-hockey-analytics-conference/ Tweet



Text Mining and Improving NHL Draft Analytics

Combining performance data (“stats”) and scouting information is the Holy Grail of sports analytics. In this paper, we develop a methodology to combine scouting report information with performance metrics to improve the evaluation of players eligible for the NHL Entry Draft. In this new approach, text-mined data from scouting reports was used to develop variables for out-of-sample prediction. We demonstrate that by adding these variables to performance metrics, we can substantially improve the prediction of future performance. Below is a paper that we (Timo Seppa,  […]



Schuckers co-hosting #OTTanalytics

On February 7th, 2015, St. Lawrence University and Carleton University will be co-hosting a Hockey Analytics workshop.  Some of the biggest names in hockey analytics including Awad and Vollman will be speaking. Additional Details can be found on the workshop website below: Workshop website: HERE     Tweet



NHL Shootout as Crapshoot

NHL Shootout as Crapshoot

This past October I gave a poster at the Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports (NCSSORS ) entitled Shootout or Crapshoot: An Analysis of the NHL Shootout after Five Years.  That poster can be found here.  (It might be time to have a conference devoted to statistical analysis of hockey.)  For that analysis, I considered all 5711 shootout shots taken during the 2005-6 through the 2009-10 seasons.  The basic gist is that the NHL Shootout is a crapshoot.  Put more statistically,  […]



So What’s a Goal Worth

So What’s a Goal Worth

In our last entry below we looked at the non-signing of Antti Niemi and the signing of Marty Turco by the Chicago Blackhawks.  At the end of that discussion we highlighted Roberto Luongo and his skill.  (Yes, yes, I hear the complaining from Western BC about his playoff performance.)  The question that we wondered about was what does it mean that Luongo saves you about eight and a half goals over what Niemi saves for you?  What does 8.5 goals mean or extrapolating to a  […]



Turco for Niemi (4 goals for $1.45 million)

Turco for Niemi (4 goals for $1.45 million)

So last week I was at the Joint Statistical Meeting in Vancouver. It was a great conference and I presented some work on  spatial mapping of shot probabilities for shooters and goalies.  My poster was on Monday the day that the Blackhawks signing of Turco was announced.  The spatial probability mapping of the offensive zone for Turco is given below. Red indicates areas where goals are scored at a higher rate than average against him.  Blue indicates areas where goals are scored at lower rates  […]