MIT SSAC

NHL Referee Analytics from 2012

So last week during the Hockey Analytics panel at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, Eric Tulsky referenced a study that Michael Schuckers and his student Lauren Brozowski did on referees in the NHL.  While this work has been available publicly on the conference website, due to some unknown oversight we did not post it here.  So here it is.  The paper is based upon two NHL seasons worth of data.  The data don’t let us know who among the referees made the call just  [...]



Total Hockey Rating (THoR) results through end of 2013

The THoR page (http://www.statsportsconsulting.com/thor) has the latest set of Even Strength (EV)  and All (EV/PP/PK) ratings for players that appeared in over about 25 games in the past two seasons.  What is new here is that we have added a new model for EV and PP and PK to the model to our EV model.  The model for all events includes all of the terms in the EV model (see the THoR page) such as Quality of Teammates, Score Effects, and Zone Starts and adds  [...]



Total Hockey Rating (THoR) results through 04/14/13

The THoR page (http://www.statsportsconsulting.com/thor) has the latest set of Even Strength ratings for the top 150 players.  I’ll give some commentary below.  Since MIT Sloan, we have added rink effects for each rink to the rink effects for shots and a score effect when the score has a differential of 2 or more.  The former aims to reduce bias in recording of RTSS events while the latter is indicative of changes of style of play according to the score. We got some good feedback at  [...]



THoR takes 2nd Place in Research Paper Competition

A paper by Statistical Sports Consulting LLC co-founder Michael Schuckers and Jim Curro has won 2nd place in the Research Paper Competition at the 2013 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. Second places carries with it a $5000 prize. The conference has been called the ‘super bowl of sports analytics’.  This is the third consecutive year that Schuckers has had a paper in the finals of the competition but the first time that he has finished in the money.   Total Hockey Ratings Paper Tweet



2013 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference

2013 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference

We are very fortunate a paper that I wrote with a former student, Jim Curro, accepted to the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference Research Paper Competition.  The paper presents a  new ratings system which we think is an improvement over the current approaches.  It creates a two-way (offense and defense combined) rating that isolates the impact of an individual player by adjusting for home ice, the quality of competition, the quality of teammates and where a player starts their shifts.  We assess the impact of a player  [...]



MIT SSAC Hockey Panel (Video)

MIT SSAC Hockey Panel (Video)

Video of my appearance at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference Hockey Panel is now available.  Another panelists include Brian Burke, (GM for the Toronto Maple Leafs), Peter Chiarelli (GM for the Boston Bruins), Mike Milbury (NHL TV Analyst), Kathryn Tappen (TV host) and Tony Amonte (former NHL All-Star).     http://www.sloansportsconference.com/?p=4550 Here is the first of my postscripts on that panel.   Tweet



MIT Sloan Postscript 1: Faceoffs

MIT Sloan Postscript 1: Faceoffs

I attended the 2012 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference last weekend in Boston. Additionally, I gave a poster and was invited to be part of the Hockey Analytics panel with Mike Milbury, Tony Amonte, Peter Chiarell and Brian Burke. NHL.com had a write-up of the panel here. I’m going to put together some posts/comments on that panel and some of the topics that came up. The first of these is the topic of faceoffs. I said in the panel that it takes an additional 100  [...]