Hockey

NHL Draft Value Pick Chart Slides 2011

NHL Draft Value Pick Chart Slides 2011

An NHL Draft Value Pick Chart slides from 2011 Joint Statistical Meetings talk.   NB: There is a more recent version of this chart: 2016 NHL Draft Pick Value Chart. Tweet



NHL Draft Value Pick Chart 2011

NHL Draft Value Pick Chart 2011

NHL Draft Value Pick Chart 2011 An updated version of this chart is available: Draft Pick Value Chart 2016 Tweet



NHL Draft Value Chart Paper 2011

NHL Draft Value Chart Paper 2011

What’s An NHL Draft Pick Worth? A Value Pick Chart for the National Hockey League NB: There is an updated version of this chart available: 2016 NHL Draft Pick Value Chart Tweet



DIGR at MIT Sloan Conference

DIGR at MIT Sloan Conference

Statistical Sports Consulting Founder Michael Schuckers had a research paper selected as a finalist for presentation at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. The paper develops a new methodology for evaluation of NHL goalies called the Defense Independent Goalie Rating or DIGR. The paper can be found here. The poster from the conference can be found here. Video of the presentation from the conference can be found here. Tweet



NHL Shootout as Crapshoot

NHL Shootout as Crapshoot

This past October I gave a poster at the Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports (NCSSORS ) entitled Shootout or Crapshoot: An Analysis of the NHL Shootout after Five Years.  That poster can be found here.  (It might be time to have a conference devoted to statistical analysis of hockey.)  For that analysis, I considered all 5711 shootout shots taken during the 2005-6 through the 2009-10 seasons.  The basic gist is that the NHL Shootout is a crapshoot.  Put more statistically,  […]



Moneypuck Interview

Moneypuck Interview

Moneypuck Interview with Michael Schuckers from The Standard with Peter Klein on JoyTV in Vancouver, BC. This interview was first broadcast August 22, 2010. This is a two part interview. Part 1 of the interview focuses on the use of statistical methods for the evaluation of National Hockey League talent. Part 2 of the interview focuses on Schuckers’ work in bioauthentication. Tweet



So What’s a Goal Worth

So What’s a Goal Worth

In our last entry below we looked at the non-signing of Antti Niemi and the signing of Marty Turco by the Chicago Blackhawks.  At the end of that discussion we highlighted Roberto Luongo and his skill.  (Yes, yes, I hear the complaining from Western BC about his playoff performance.)  The question that we wondered about was what does it mean that Luongo saves you about eight and a half goals over what Niemi saves for you?  What does 8.5 goals mean or extrapolating to a  […]



Turco for Niemi (4 goals for $1.45 million)

Turco for Niemi (4 goals for $1.45 million)

So last week I was at the Joint Statistical Meeting in Vancouver. It was a great conference and I presented some work on  spatial mapping of shot probabilities for shooters and goalies.  My poster was on Monday the day that the Blackhawks signing of Turco was announced.  The spatial probability mapping of the offensive zone for Turco is given below. Red indicates areas where goals are scored at a higher rate than average against him.  Blue indicates areas where goals are scored at lower rates  […]



Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports

Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports

SSC Founder Michael Schuckers will present two papers at the Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports. He will give an oral presentation entitled An Empirical NFL Draft Value Chart and a poster entitled Shootout or Crapshoot: An Analysis of the NHL Shootout after Five Years. [Update:Shootout or Crapshoot: An Analysis of the NHL Shootout after Five Years poster may be found here.] Tweet



Adjusted +/-

Adjusted +/-

So the Hockey Analysis Group over on Yahoo has been having a discussion concerning hockey’s plus/minus values and how they can be used.  We, the SSC group and a student, Dennis Lock, have done an analysis that takes the advances the plus/minus idea.  Our premise is that every play should tell us about the players on the ice.  Therefore, we looked at a more general model that goes beyond goals and accounts for every play on the ice and looks at every play from the  […]