Hockey

2017 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference (#OTTHAC17)

Again this year we will have a 2017 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference on May 6th at Carleton University.  We will have a day of talks related to hockey analytics. This year registration will have a fee to cover lunch. Full conference details are here: www.statsportsconsulting.com/otthac17   Registration can be found here (note that registration is two steps: registration and payment) http://forms.carleton.ca/math/2017-ottawa-hockey-analytics-conference/ Tweet



Text Mining and Improving NHL Draft Analytics

Combining performance data (“stats”) and scouting information is the Holy Grail of sports analytics. In this paper, we develop a methodology to combine scouting report information with performance metrics to improve the evaluation of players eligible for the NHL Entry Draft. In this new approach, text-mined data from scouting reports was used to develop variables for out-of-sample prediction. We demonstrate that by adding these variables to performance metrics, we can substantially improve the prediction of future performance. Below is a paper that we (Timo Seppa,  […]



Draft Pick Value Chart 2016

Draft Pick Value Chart 2016

Here’s a new version of the Draft Pick Value Chart DraftPickValueChart_2016 Info: Based upon a smoothed monotonic regression (monreg package in R) using the first seven years (post draft) of time on ice (TOI) for players drafted at each pick in the NHL draft (through the 210th pick).  The data used for this draft value pick chart (DPVC) are the 2003 to 2008 NHL Draft classes.  The chart is scaled (and rounded) so that the first pick has value 1000.  A graph of the chart  […]



Ottawa Hockey Analytics 2016

Ottawa Hockey Analytics 2016

Michael Schuckers, one of the co-founders of Statistical Sports Consulting, LLC is again one of the organizers for the 2016 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference. The conference will be held January 16th, 2016 at Porter Hall/231 University Centre Carleton University in Ottawa, Ontario.  The conference webpage (including registration) can be found here: http://statsportsconsulting.com/ottanalytics16/ Michael Schuckers, professor of statistics at St. Lawrence, who will speak at the conference, says hockey analytics has become a way to better understand the factors that impact the outcome of hockey games  […]



Anti-Tank: A single elimination tournament for NHL Draft order

Anti-Tank: A single elimination tournament for NHL Draft order

  So there has been a bunch of discussion lately about tanking in the NHL. Seems pretty clear that this has happened before and is happening again this year.  Puck Daddy doesn’t mind it.  Grantland’s Sean McIndoe calls it a ‘disastrous situation’ and has some suggestions including one (Option 11) for a postseason tournament.  The idea of a postseason tournament is nice in theory but I wanted to sit down and see if it was possible to build a tournament which gave worse teams better odds of  […]



Laurentian Webinar: Modern Hockey Statistics

Laurentian Webinar:  Modern Hockey Statistics

  Last night I did a webinar on Statistical Methods for the Analysis of Hockey for St. Lawrence University Alumni and friends.  I had a blast.  There were lots of good questions and lots of interest.  Exactly what I would expect from a bunch of Laurentians. Below is a link to the slides for the talk. SLUAlumniWebinar2015v3 Tweet



Schuckers co-hosting #OTTanalytics

On February 7th, 2015, St. Lawrence University and Carleton University will be co-hosting a Hockey Analytics workshop.  Some of the biggest names in hockey analytics including Awad and Vollman will be speaking. Additional Details can be found on the workshop website below: Workshop website: HERE     Tweet



Dealing with the NHL’s RTSS recording of Events

Dealing with the NHL’s RTSS recording of Events

One of the aspects of the statistical analysis of hockey that has been cited as a reason not to trust the results that have been generated is the quality of the data produced by the NHL’s Real Time Scoring System (RTSS).  Here is an article with some NHL GM’s talking about the quality of the data.  Also there have been several studies that have found that there are inconsistencies in the recording of these events from rink to rink.   These studies include work by Boyle, Zona,  […]



Schuckers Talk at Carleton University

So last Friday, I gave a talk at Carleton University.  Here is the abstract: Recently there has been a good deal of interest in the use of statistical methods and statistical thinking in sports. Work of this kind has been going on for many many years though often behind the scenes. With the publication of Michael Lewis’ Moneyball and the subsequent movie of the same name, the interest in this kind of work has grown extensively. Further evidence of this can be found in the  […]



Joint Statistical Meetings 2014 Hockey Panel

Joint Statistical Meetings 2014 Hockey Panel

A week ago (on August 6th), I appeared on a panel on the Joint Statistical Meetings in Boston along with Brian Macdonald, Andrew Thomas, Sam Ventura and Kevin Mongeon.  The panel was a good one on some of the advanced statistical methods that are being used in hockey.  Fluto Shinzawa of the Boston Globe attended the panel and wrote up a piece on the panel that can be found at this link.  A rough audio of this can be found at Andrew Thomas’ website:  www.acthomas.ca/?p=62.  […]