Football

NFL Draft Analysis in JQAS

NFL Draft Analysis in JQAS

The Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports has published an article entitled An Alternative to the NFL Draft Value Pick Chart Based upon Player Performance written by Statistical Sports Consulting co-founder Michael Schuckers. The paper can be found here. Tweet



Alterative NFL Draft Value Chart Paper

An Alternative to the NFL Draft Pick Value Chart Based upon Player Performance published in Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports Tweet



Alterative NFL Draft Value Chart Slides

Alterative NFL Draft Value Chart Slides

An evaluation of NFL team drafting performance (1991-2001) IISA NFL Draft slides. Tweet



2009-10 College Bowl Expected Victories by Conference

2009-10 College Bowl Expected Victories by Conference

So bowl season is upon us and at Empirical Sports we are excited about the upcoming games.  This time of year the talkingheads decide to promote the best conference based upon which conference wins the most bowl games. This, of course, ignores the matchups and the quality of opponents that a given conference faces. For example, if the PAC-10 is favored in 7 of 8 games but only wins 6, the talkingheads given them kudos for going 6 and 2 when really they underperformed. Similarly,  […]



College Football Conference Comparison

College Football Conference Comparison

Every year around this time we hear about how one conference or another (especially the Big Ten – overrated and the SEC – underrated) is/was vastly overrated based upon their performance in 5 or 6 bowl games.  It is worth remembering that the talking heads are paid not for their insight but for their entertainment value.  Now it is true that there is a lack of quality out of conference scheduling and so the information in these 30 or so games is very very useful  […]



The Worth of a Rivals.com Star: Stars Matter in College Football

The Worth of a Rivals.com Star: Stars Matter in College Football

There are numerous debates on the Rivals network regarding whether there are differences in how good a particular recruit is.  For example, team X gets a verbal commitment from player A who is listed as a 4-star player, while team Y gets a recruit from player B who is listed as a 3-star player.  Internet bickering/flaming ensues about who got the better player.   Further, this debate sometimes continues along the lines of “Well not every player pans out . . .” and “Lots of 5-stars  […]